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Stadium Background

Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangdong Mingtu

China China

League Two Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Zhong W.
Assist: Cai M.
39'
Shao Shuai
42'
Sub
Wang Duolin In: Guo Fuxin
Out: Wang Duolin

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Ganzhou Ruishi and Guangdong Mingtu finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangdong Mingtu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ganzhou Ruishi
33%
Draws
27%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ganzhou Ruishi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ganzhou Ruishi come out ahead of Guangdong Mingtu on wins alone.
  • Ganzhou Ruishi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ganzhou Ruishi Clean Sheet 68%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganzhou Ruishi Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Ganzhou Ruishi
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangdong Mingtu
2:2
May 13, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Ganzhou Ruishi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ganzhou Ruishi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhong W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gu Zhiwei
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganzhou Ruishi 50 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganzhou Ruishi Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ganzhou Ruishi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Guangdong Mingtu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ganzhou Ruishi's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ganzhou Ruishi VS Guangdong Mingtu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ganzhou Ruishi

(Home)
18 Jul
Xiamen Feilu
0 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
11 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
04 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
4 : 4
Hubei Istar
28 Jun
Wenzhou Professional
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
24 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
Page 1 of 6

Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
11 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 2
Shenzhen 2028
04 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Guangdong Mingtu
27 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
23 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B17112425:1435
2Shanghai Port B16104229:1034
3Dalian Kewei1778214:829
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1683522:1527
5Taian Tiankuang1674517:1425
6Dalian Yingbo B1649315:1421
7Qingdao Red Lions1738614:1617
8Nantong Haimen1629516:1615
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic152945:1015
10Changchun Xidu162868:2014
11Shanghai Second1726916:3012
12Beijing Technology1516811:259
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang16101523:1331
2Shenzhen 20281786328:2130
3Hubei Istar1685325:1729
4Ganzhou Ruishi1767417:1525
5Xiamen Feilu1667324:1725
6Jiangxi Lushan1674519:1425
7Hangzhou Linping1749416:2321
8Guangzhou Dandelion1754818:2319
9Guangdong Mingtu1739517:1918
10Wenzhou Professional1636711:1915
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1736810:1815
12Wuhan Three Towns B161699:189
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)