Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ganzhou Ruishi vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Liu G.
16'
Li Boyang
46'
Sub
Zhou Bingxu In: Anqi Luo
Out: Zhou Bingxu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ganzhou Ruishi
44%
Draws
20%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jiangxi Lushan lately — more wins on the board than Ganzhou Ruishi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ganzhou Ruishi Clean Sheet 22%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganzhou Ruishi Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Ganzhou Ruishi
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Ganzhou Ruishi
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ganzhou Ruishi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganzhou Ruishi 37 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganzhou Ruishi Jiangxi Lushan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Ganzhou Ruishi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ganzhou Ruishi scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Ganzhou Ruishi VS Jiangxi Lushan
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ganzhou Ruishi

(Home)
25 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
3 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
18 Jul
Xiamen Feilu
0 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
11 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
04 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
4 : 4
Hubei Istar
28 Jun
Wenzhou Professional
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
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Jiangxi Lushan

(Away)
25 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
1 : 2
Shenzhen 2028
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
08 Jul
Hangzhou Linping
2 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
28 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B18113426:1536
2Shanghai Port B17104331:1334
3Dalian Kewei1888216:832
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1793524:1530
5Taian Tiankuang1784520:1628
6Dalian Yingbo B1749415:1621
7Qingdao Red Lions1848620:1720
8Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1621047:1216
9Nantong Haimen1729616:1815
10Changchun Xidu172969:2115
11Shanghai Second1827918:3213
12Beijing Technology1616912:319
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang17111526:1334
2Shenzhen 20281896330:2233
3Hubei Istar1786326:1830
4Ganzhou Ruishi1867517:1825
5Xiamen Feilu1767425:1925
6Jiangxi Lushan1774620:1625
7Hangzhou Linping1859418:2424
8Guangdong Mingtu1849519:1921
9Guangzhou Dandelion1855818:2320
10Wenzhou Professional1737711:1916
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1836910:2015
12Wuhan Three Towns B1717910:1910
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)