Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025 Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas

Ekranas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Garliava play Ekranas in the Lithuanian Cup 2025. Garliava are favorites here. Recently, Garliava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Ekranas averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Garliava won 3, Ekranas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Garliava and 1.13 for Ekranas. This points to a Garliava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Garliava

15%

Draws

28%

Ekranas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Garliava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Garliava picked up more points recently compared to Ekranas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Garliava Clean Sheet 21%

Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Garliava	Ekranas
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	12	8
Draws	6	2
Losses	12	22
Goals Scored	1.4	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.33	2.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 I Lyga

Garliava vs Ekranas

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

May 7, 2025 Lithuanian Cup

Garliava vs Ekranas

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly

Ekranas vs Garliava

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Aug 16, 2024 I Lyga

Ekranas vs Garliava

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 23, 2024 I Lyga

Garliava vs Ekranas

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Odincovas L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Ekranas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 56 / 100

Ekranas 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Garliava Ekranas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garliava Win (1)

Secondary Pick Garliava & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Garliava attacking → ← attacking Ekranas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ekranas let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Garliava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ekranas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 26

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63