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Garudayaksa vs PSMS Medan Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Pakansari Stadium, Cibinong
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Match Events

7' Event
Everton Nascimento
40'
Lastori R.
45'
Alim Z.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Garudayaksa and PSMS Medan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Garudayaksa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Garudayaksa
30%
Draws
39%
PSMS Medan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • PSMS Medan haven't matched Garudayaksa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives PSMS Medan a 39% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Garudayaksa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Garudayaksa Clean Sheet 20%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garudayaksa PSMS Medan
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 15 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Garudayaksa vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Championship
Garudayaksa vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Garudayaksa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garudayaksa Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Nascimento
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

PSMS Medan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garudayaksa 20 / 100
PSMS Medan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garudayaksa PSMS Medan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garudayaksa scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: PSMS Medan conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Garudayaksa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garudayaksa VS PSMS Medan
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garudayaksa

(Home)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2
Persik Kediri
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 7

PSMS Medan

(Away)
03 Oct
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Persikad Depok
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0
Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)