Sport Picks

Rwanda

Premier League

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gasogi United host Etincelles in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Etincelles have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Gasogi United have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Etincelles slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.25, favoring Etincelles. Etincelles in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Gasogi United

20%

Draws

38%

Etincelles

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gasogi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Etincelles has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gasogi United.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Gasogi United.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Gasogi United Clean Sheet 19%

Etincelles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gasogi United	Etincelles
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	8	9
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League

Gasogi United vs Etincelles

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Sep 13, 2025 Premier League

Etincelles vs Gasogi United

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Mar 8, 2025 Premier League

Etincelles vs Gasogi United

Possession: 40% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 1, 2024 Premier League

Gasogi United vs Etincelles

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

May 10, 2024 Premier League

Gasogi United vs Etincelles

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasogi United 42 / 100

Etincelles 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gasogi United Etincelles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gasogi United scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Etincelles let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Gasogi United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Etincelles lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gasogi United VS Etincelles

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	34	23	6	5	74:25	75
2	APR	34	19	11	4	50:28	68
3	Al-Merreikh	34	16	11	7	41:24	59
4	Rayon Sport	34	14	14	6	40:30	56
5	Kiyovu	34	13	14	7	34:21	53
6	Police	34	12	16	6	29:19	52
7	Mukura Victory Sports	34	12	11	11	36:38	47
8	Marines	34	12	9	13	47:43	45
9	Bugesera	34	12	8	14	34:39	44
10	Musanze	34	11	10	13	38:37	43
11	Gorilla	34	10	10	14	31:42	40
12	Gicumbi	34	10	8	16	38:54	38
13	Etincelles	34	7	16	11	32:40	37
14	AS Kigali	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
15	Gasogi United	34	8	11	15	29:44	35
16	Amagaju	34	9	8	17	19:38	35
17	Muhanga	34	8	7	19	25:46	31
18	Rutsiro	34	6	11	17	30:47	29