Sport Picks
Gasogi United vs Etincelles Prediction & H2H Stats
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Etincelles lately — more wins on the board than Gasogi United.
- Win probability leans Etincelles's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 15%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gasogi United | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Etincelles
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gasogi United
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gasogi United
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Etincelles
0:1
May 10, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Etincelles
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gasogi United 10 / 100
Etincelles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gasogi United Etincelles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etincelles let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Gasogi United scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Gasogi United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gasogi United VS Etincelles
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Gasogi United
(Home) 06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0 Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2 Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1 Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Police
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1 Gicumbi
17 Apr
Gasogi United
2 : 1 Gorilla
14 Mar
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Bugesera
Page 1 of 3
Etincelles
(Away) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
16 May
Marines
2 : 3 Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1 Etincelles
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
