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Gasogi United vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gasogi United and Gorilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gasogi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gasogi United
15%
Draws
76%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorilla come out ahead of Gasogi United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gorilla a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 14%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gasogi United Gorilla
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gorilla
0:0
Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gorilla
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gasogi United
1:2
May 20, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gasogi United
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gorilla
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasogi United 15 / 100
Gorilla 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gasogi United Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Gasogi United's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gasogi United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gasogi United VS Gorilla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gasogi United

(Home)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)