Sport Picks
Gateshead vs Sunderland U21
England
National League Cup Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead 
Match Events
34'
34'
Middlemas B.
41'
41'
Telford D.
Assist: Home J.
46'
46'
Sub
Telford D. In: Lish J.
Out: Telford D.
AI Match Summary
Gateshead in this National League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gateshead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sunderland U21 have won more games recently than Gateshead.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Gateshead taking it.
- Sunderland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gateshead, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Gateshead here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 16%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gateshead | Sunderland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.86 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Sunderland U21
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Sunderland U21
2:2
Dec 4, 2024 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Sunderland U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Telford D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sunderland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ba A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gateshead 84 / 100
Sunderland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gateshead Sunderland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Gateshead scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Gateshead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gateshead VS Sunderland U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home) 25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
14 Jul
Hebburn Town
3 : 3 Gateshead
11 Jul
Heaton Stannington
1 : 1 Gateshead
07 Jul
Blyth Town
0 : 6 Gateshead
25 Apr
Altrincham
3 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
18 Apr
Gateshead
0 : 3 Woking
06 Apr
Gateshead
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
28 Mar
Gateshead
2 : 1 Yeovil
24 Mar
Gateshead
3 : 1 York City
Page 1 of 3
Sunderland U21
(Away) 18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Blackburn U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 Mar
Chelsea U21
4 : 0 Sunderland U21
02 Mar
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)
