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Gauloise vs Marinoise

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2011/2012 game between Gauloise and Marinoise finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gauloise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gauloise
15%
Draws
0%
Marinoise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gauloise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marinoise haven't matched Gauloise's recent run of results.
  • Gauloise are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gauloise Clean Sheet 20%
Marinoise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gauloise Marinoise
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 3 2
Draws 11 3
Losses 12 29
Goals Scored 0.81 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Gauloise vs Marinoise
1:0
Nov 19, 2011 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Marinoise vs Gauloise
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gauloise 76 / 100
Marinoise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gauloise Marinoise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gauloise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marinoise conceded in 91% of 34 recent games.

Marinoise lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Gauloise's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marinoise
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gauloise

(Home)
31 May
Diamantinoise
3 : 1
Gauloise
26 May
Gauloise
0 : 2
RC Riviere-Pilote
06 May
Golden Star
5 : 1
Gauloise
28 Apr
Gauloise
1 : 0
Marinoise
14 Apr
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 1
Gauloise
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Marinoise

(Away)
14 May
New Star Ducos
5 : 2
Marinoise
07 May
Marinoise
0 : 6
RC Riviere-Pilote
30 Apr
Excelsior
3 : 2
Marinoise
23 Apr
Golden Star
1 : 0
Marinoise
16 Apr
Marinoise
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
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