Sport Picks

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Gazovik Vitebsk vs Torpedo Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-3, with Gazovik Vitebsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gazovik Vitebsk
6%
Draws
90%
Torpedo Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torpedo Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Torpedo Mogilev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Torpedo Mogilev are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Torpedo Mogilev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gazovik Vitebsk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gazovik Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%
Torpedo Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazovik Vitebsk Torpedo Mogilev
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Belarusian Cup
Gazovik Vitebsk vs Torpedo Mogilev
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazovik Vitebsk 10 / 100
Torpedo Mogilev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazovik Vitebsk Torpedo Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gazovik Vitebsk found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (10 games).

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Torpedo Mogilev let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Torpedo Mogilev lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gazovik Vitebsk VS Torpedo Mogilev
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazovik Vitebsk

(Home)
27 May
Gazovik Vitebsk
1 : 4
Volna Pinsk
28 May
Gazovik Vitebsk
0 : 6
Ostrovets
31 May
Gazovik Vitebsk
1 : 3
Vitebsk
23 Jun
Gazovik Vitebsk
0 : 5
Dnepr Mogilev
29 May
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk
0 : 2
Gazovik Vitebsk
Page 1 of 2

Torpedo Mogilev

(Away)
14 Sept
Torpedo Mogilev
0 : 4
BATE
12 Jun
Novaya Pripyat
0 : 1
Torpedo Mogilev
24 May
Gazovik Vitebsk
5 : 3
Torpedo Mogilev
06 Nov
Torpedo Mogilev
0 : 3
Smena Minsk
29 Oct
Kommunalnik Slonim
2 : 0
Torpedo Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Naftan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Luch Minsk1
Zhodino 20070
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Byaroza 2010-
TBD-
TBD-
Krutogorye Dzerzhinsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Isloch Minsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Minsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Chimik Svetlogorsk-
Lokomotiv Gomel-
TBD-
TBD-
Priozerie-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Belshina-
Slutsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brestzhilstroy5
FK Kletsk4
TBD-
Krumkachy-
FK Kobrin-
TBD-
TBD-
Osipovichi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Mikashevichi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolos Druzhba2
Grodnensky1
TBD-
Oshmyany-
Spartak Shklov-
TBD-
TBD-
Uzda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BATE-
Zhodino-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gazovik Vitebsk5
Torpedo Mogilev3
TBD-
Orsha-
FK Lida-
TBD-
JUA-Stroj Zhitkovichi0
Lyuban1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Smorgon-
Neman-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhlobin3
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
TBD-
Rechitsa-2014-
FK Smolevichi-
TBD-
TBD-
Molodechno-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vertical Kalinkovichi-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Slonim-
Volna Pinsk-
TBD-
TBD-
SKA-1938 Minsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Slavia Mozyr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zarya Krugloe3
ML Vitebsk0
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
FK Gorodeja-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhdanovichi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Minsk-
1/32-finals
Naftan-
TBD-
Luch Minsk1
Dnepr Mogilev3
Byaroza 20104
Krutogorye Dzerzhinsk1
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Isloch Minsk-
TBD-
Torpedo Minsk0
Chimik Svetlogorsk4
Lokomotiv Gomel3
Priozerie0
TBD-
Belshina-
Slutsk-
TBD-
Brestzhilstroy1
Krumkachy3
FK Kobrin1
Osipovichi0
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Mikashevichi-
TBD-
Kolos Druzhba1
Oshmyany2
Spartak Shklov2
Uzda1
TBD-
BATE-
Zhodino-
TBD-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Orsha6
FK Lida4
Lyuban2
TBD-
Smorgon-
Neman-
TBD-
Zhlobin1
Rechitsa-20143
FK Smolevichi5
Molodechno0
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
TBD-
Vertical Kalinkovichi1
FC Slonim5
Volna Pinsk2
SKA-1938 Minsk0
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Slavia Mozyr-
TBD-
Zarya Krugloe0
FK Baranovici3
FK Gorodeja6
Zhdanovichi1
TBD-
FC Minsk-
1/16-finals
Naftan7
Dnepr Mogilev2
Byaroza 20104
Dynamo Brest5
Isloch Minsk5
Chimik Svetlogorsk2
Lokomotiv Gomel3
Belshina4
Slutsk6
Krumkachy2
FK Kobrin0
FC Gomel6
Mikashevichi8
Oshmyany2
Spartak Shklov2
BATE8
Zhodino16
Orsha1
FK Lida3
Smorgon5
Neman6
Rechitsa-20140
FK Smolevichi2
Din. Minsk7
Shakhtyor Soligorsk18
FC Slonim2
Volna Pinsk1
Vitebsk5
Slavia Mozyr3
FK Baranovici1
FK Gorodeja0
FC Minsk2
1/8-finals
Naftan3
Dynamo Brest2
Isloch Minsk1
Belshina4
Slutsk5
FC Gomel0
Mikashevichi1
BATE8
Zhodino9
Smorgon1
Neman1
Din. Minsk2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk4
Vitebsk2
Slavia Mozyr4
FC Minsk4
Quarter-finals
Naftan4
Belshina2
Slutsk0
BATE3
Zhodino2
Din. Minsk1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk0
FC Minsk2
Semi-finals
Naftan2
BATE2
Zhodino2
FC Minsk1
Final
BATE0
Zhodino1