Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GD Braganca vs Desportivo Moncao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pedrosa Trindade D. A.
33' Event
Marques F.
39' Event
Pedrosa Trindade D. A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between GD Braganca and Desportivo Moncao finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo Moncao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
GD Braganca
6%
Draws
4%
Desportivo Moncao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportivo Moncao haven't matched GD Braganca's recent run of results.
  • GD Braganca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca Desportivo Moncao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.88 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Desportivo Moncao
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs GD Braganca
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Desportivo Moncao
0:1
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs GD Braganca
2:2
Sep 10, 2022 Taça de Portugal
GD Braganca vs Desportivo Moncao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Braganca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Desportivo Moncao Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrosa Trindade D. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baptista D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 95 / 100
Desportivo Moncao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca Desportivo Moncao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Moncao has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Desportivo Moncao has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

GD Braganca found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS Desportivo Moncao
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.86
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Braganca

(Home)
31 May
Leca
1 : 0
GD Braganca
23 May
GD Braganca
1 : 0
SC Vianense
17 May
Rebordosa
1 : 1
GD Braganca
10 May
GD Braganca
1 : 1
Leca
03 May
SC Vianense
1 : 0
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 6

Desportivo Moncao

(Away)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
Desportivo Moncao
0 : 5
SC Vianense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
15 Mar
AD Limianos
4 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)