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GD Fontinhas vs Condeixa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 game between GD Fontinhas and Condeixa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Fontinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
GD Fontinhas
35%
Draws
18%
Condeixa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Fontinhas come out ahead of Condeixa on wins alone.
  • GD Fontinhas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Condeixa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%
Condeixa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Fontinhas Condeixa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Fontinhas vs Condeixa
3:1
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Condeixa vs GD Fontinhas
3:1
Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Condeixa vs GD Fontinhas
3:0
Oct 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Condeixa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Fontinhas 77 / 100
Condeixa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Fontinhas Condeixa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condeixa has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

GD Fontinhas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

GD Fontinhas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Fontinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Fontinhas

(Home)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 7

Condeixa

(Away)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
Condeixa
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 1
Condeixa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)