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GD Joane vs Padroense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
GD Joane Logo

GD Joane

2 - 1
FT
Padroense Logo

Padroense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte game between GD Joane and Padroense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Joane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GD Joane
20%
Draws
40%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Joane come out ahead of Padroense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 17%
Padroense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane Padroense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
GD Joane vs Padroense
2:1
Oct 14, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs GD Joane
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 30 / 100
Padroense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Joane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padroense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Padroense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

GD Joane found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

GD Joane VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Joane

(Home)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)