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GD Peniche vs Macao Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 game between GD Peniche and Macao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
GD Peniche
15%
Draws
42%
Macao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Peniche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Peniche come out ahead of Macao on wins alone.
  • GD Peniche are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 10%
Macao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Peniche Macao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Macao
1:1
Oct 14, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Macao vs GD Peniche
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Peniche 38 / 100
Macao 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Peniche Macao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Peniche Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macao has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

GD Peniche scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Macao lost 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

GD Peniche VS Macao
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Peniche

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
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Macao

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
12 May
Sintrense
5 : 0
Macao
05 May
Macao
0 : 1
Caldas SC
28 Apr
Santa Iria
3 : 1
Macao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)