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GE Bage vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Wilsinho

AI Match Summary

Gramadense in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
GE Bage
33%
Draws
40%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gramadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • GE Bage haven't matched Gramadense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gramadense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Gramadense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 19%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Gramadense
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Gramadense
0:1
May 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilsinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 28 / 100
Gramadense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GE Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GE Bage found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Gramadense let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Gramadense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas2
Gramadense3