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Stadium Background

Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2013 game between Gefest Karagandy and Zhenis finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefest Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gefest Karagandy
15%
Draws
85%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Zhenis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Zhenis taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zhenis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefest Karagandy Zhenis
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.31
Goals Conceded 2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis
0:3
May 31, 2014 First League
Zhenis vs Gefest Karagandy
1:0
Jul 30, 2013 First League
Zhenis vs Gefest Karagandy
1:0
Jul 13, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis
3:1
Oct 10, 2011 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
Zhenis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefest Karagandy Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Zhenis registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gefest Karagandy found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Zhenis
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefest Karagandy

(Home)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
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Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaisar Kyzylorda 34 23 8 3 77:20 74
2 Spartak Semey 34 21 7 6 54:24 70
3 Okzhetpes 34 20 7 7 51:27 67
4 Kyzylzhar 34 20 5 9 52:35 65
5 Kaspij Aktau 34 19 8 7 55:31 65
6 Ile-Saulet 34 19 8 7 66:32 65
7 Zhenis 34 15 13 6 51:37 58
8 FK Kyran 34 16 7 11 53:39 55
9 Sunkar 34 16 9 9 48:33 48
10 Ak Bulak 34 14 6 14 49:39 48
11 Gefest Karagandy 34 12 8 14 37:46 44
12 FC Ekibastuz 34 9 13 12 34:36 40
13 Shakhtar Bulat 34 7 9 18 28:42 30
14 Taraz-Karatau 2 34 5 9 20 28:57 24
15 Bayterek Astana 34 8 5 21 32:67 23
16 Maqtaaral 34 5 7 22 29:62 22
17 CSKA Almaty 34 5 4 25 29:79 19
18 Shymkent 34 2 7 25 27:94 13
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)