Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Gemert in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemert.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gemert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gemert lately — more wins on the board than ASWH.
- Gemert are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Gemert here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gemert Clean Sheet 18%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gemert | ASWH |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs ASWH
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Gemert
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs ASWH
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Gemert
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gemert 85 / 100
ASWH 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gemert ASWH
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gemert scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
ASWH has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Gemert stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gemert VS ASWH
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gemert
(Home) 15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Gemert
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1 Helmond Sport
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1 SteDoCo
10 May
Gemert
0 : 1 VVSB
Page 1 of 7
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1 Helmond Sport
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1 SteDoCo
10 May
Gemert
0 : 1 VVSB
19 Apr
Gemert
4 : 1 Meerssen
04 Apr
Gemert
1 : 1 VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 4
ASWH
(Away) 23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6 VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3 Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
28 Mar
GOES
0 : 1 ASWH
14 Mar
Meerssen
2 : 2 ASWH
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
