Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemert vs Hoogland

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
den Dekker W.
36' Event
Daniels J.
69' Event
Hugo K.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2021/2022 game between Gemert and Hoogland finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoogland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gemert
30%
Draws
39%
Hoogland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hoogland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gemert a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gemert Clean Sheet 19%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert Hoogland
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 12 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Hoogland
2:3
Aug 22, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Gemert
2:2
Mar 14, 2021 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Hoogland
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Gemert
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Hoogland
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemert Compare

Top Goalscorer den Dekker W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Hoogland Compare

Top Goalscorer Wobbes B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 42 / 100
Hoogland 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert Hoogland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gemert scored in 88% of their last 42 outings.

Defensive concern: Hoogland conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Gemert has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2
Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 9

Hoogland

(Away)
19 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 2
Hoogland
16 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
12 Jun
Hoogland
5 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
09 Jun
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 0
Hoogland
06 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
GVV Unitas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 34 21 7 6 70:38 70
2 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 7 8 65:38 64
3 Sportlust 34 17 7 10 63:40 58
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 18 4 12 61:41 58
5 HSV Hoek 34 16 7 11 53:49 55
6 ACV Assen 34 14 9 11 50:42 51
7 Excelsior 31 34 14 9 11 53:47 51
8 Barendrecht 34 13 11 10 72:57 50
9 SteDoCo 34 12 9 13 49:48 45
10 Staphorst 34 13 6 15 54:56 45
11 Ter Leede 34 13 5 16 49:67 44
12 Harkemase Boys 34 10 12 12 63:62 42
13 VV DOVO 34 10 8 16 43:57 38
14 VVSB 34 10 8 16 50:66 38
15 ODIN '59 34 9 10 15 52:68 37
16 VVOG 34 10 7 17 61:82 37
17 Ajax (Am) 34 10 6 18 38:54 36
18 GOES 34 6 10 18 44:78 28
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 7 9 66:47 61
2 USV Hercules 34 18 5 11 74:46 59
3 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 7 10 64:46 58
4 Gemert 34 15 12 7 75:57 57
5 FC OSS '20 34 16 8 10 62:46 56
6 Groene Ster 34 14 9 11 48:50 51
7 Dongen 34 13 11 10 56:47 50
8 UNA 34 15 5 14 60:58 50
9 HSC '21 34 15 4 15 63:52 49
10 HV & CV Quick 34 14 5 15 47:44 47
11 Blauw Geel 34 13 6 15 55:56 45
12 DEM 34 13 6 15 37:50 45
13 GVV Unitas 34 12 6 16 41:59 42
14 Watergraafsmeer 34 12 6 16 59:69 40
15 Hoogland 34 11 6 17 42:64 39
16 EVV 34 9 10 15 36:59 37
17 HVV Hollandia 34 10 5 19 38:55 35
18 Westlandia 34 8 8 18 43:61 32
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)