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Stadium Background

Genclerbirligi vs Kocaelispor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Eryaman Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Demirel V.
34' Event
Mimaroglu M.
(Penalty)
45'
Linetty K.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Genclerbirligi and Kocaelispor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genclerbirligi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Genclerbirligi
28%
Draws
22%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Genclerbirligi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genclerbirligi come out ahead of Kocaelispor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Genclerbirligi a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 68%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genclerbirligi Kocaelispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Genclerbirligi
1:0
Jan 20, 2025 1. Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Genclerbirligi
2:1
Mar 15, 2024 1. Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Kocaelispor
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genclerbirligi 59 / 100
Kocaelispor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genclerbirligi Kocaelispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Genclerbirligi scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Kocaelispor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Kocaelispor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genclerbirligi VS Kocaelispor
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genclerbirligi

(Home)
24 Jul
Kasimpasa
3 : 0
Genclerbirligi
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Genclerbirligi
13 May
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
09 May
Genclerbirligi
3 : 2
Kasimpasa
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0
Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 6

Kocaelispor

(Away)
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1
Kocaelispor
26 Apr
Genclerbirligi
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)