Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genk U19 vs Chelsea U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2021/2022 Cegeka Arena - Stadium B, Genk
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Diawara S.
Assist: Rommens T.
46'
Sub
Rankine D. In: Thomas S.
Out: Rankine D.
46'
Sub
Elliott B. In: Webster C.
Out: Elliott B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Genk U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Genk U19
30%
Draws
39%
Chelsea U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genk U19 come out ahead of Chelsea U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Genk U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Genk U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Genk U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk U19 Chelsea U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.1 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Genk U19 vs Chelsea U19
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Chelsea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk U19 30 / 100
Chelsea U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk U19 Chelsea U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Genk U19 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Genk U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genk U19 VS Chelsea U19
3 Goals Scored 3.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Genk U19
2 : 2
HJK U19
26 Nov
HJK U19
1 : 0
Genk U19
04 Nov
Genk U19
3 : 1
Vikingur U19
22 Oct
Vikingur U19
0 : 8
Genk U19
17 Dec
Genk U19
2 : 2
Puskas Akademia U19
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea U19

(Away)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Manchester United U19 -
TBD -
Empoli U19 3
Dortmund U19 5
Real Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Hajduk Split U19 0
Atl. Madrid U19 1
PSG U19 -
TBD -
Rangers U19 0
Sevilla U19 1
Zilina U19 3
Inter U19 1
Salzburg U19 -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Villarreal U19 3
Juventus U19 -
TBD -
Liverpool U19 -
TBD -
Genk U19 5
Chelsea U19 1
Dep. A Coruna U19 2
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Sporting CP U19 -
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 3
Club Brugge U19 2
Benfica U19 -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Manchester United U19 2
Dortmund U19 3
Real Madrid U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 3
PSG U19 2
Sevilla U19 0
Zilina U19 1
Salzburg U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 0
Juventus U19 1
Liverpool U19 2
Genk U19 1
Dynamo Kyiv U19 1
Sporting CP U19 2
Midtjylland U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Quarter-finals
Dortmund U19 0
Atl. Madrid U19 1
PSG U19 1
Salzburg U19 3
Juventus U19 2
Liverpool U19 0
Sporting CP U19 0
Benfica U19 4
Semi-finals
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Salzburg U19 5
Juventus U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Final
Salzburg U19 0
Benfica U19 6