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Stadium Background

Geoje vs Incheon Seogot

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Choi Da-huin
72' Event
Kim Kyeong-hwan
77' Event
Kim Yeong-Jun

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Geoje
15%
Draws
33%
Incheon Seogot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Geoje have won more games recently than Incheon Seogot.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Geoje taking it.
  • Geoje have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Geoje, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Geoje Clean Sheet 68%
Incheon Seogot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Incheon Seogot
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 14 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.77 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Korean Cup
Geoje vs Incheon Seogot
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Geoje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Yeong-Jun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Choi Da-huin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Incheon Seogot Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 95 / 100
Incheon Seogot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Incheon Seogot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geoje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Geoje scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Incheon Seogot let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Incheon Seogot registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geoje VS Incheon Seogot
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Geoje

(Home)
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Incheon Seogot

(Away)
05 Jul
Geoje
4 : 0
Incheon Seogot
20 Jun
Incheon Seogot
2 : 1
Areum
09 Mar
Incheon Seogot
0 : 9
Daejeon Korail
19 Feb
Incheon Seogot
0 : 5
Yangpyeong

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jincheon -
TBD -
TBD -
Siheung Citizen -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Chuncheon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheonan City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yangsan United 1
Anseong Citizen 2
TBD -
Mokpo -
Pohang -
TBD -
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Busan Kyotong -
TBD -
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Gijang United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Sejong SA -
Seosan Pioneer -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyeongju KHNP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hwaseong -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeonsu Songdo 0
Ulsan FC 4
TBD -
Yangpyeong -
Pyeongtaek Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeoju Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
Haman -
TBD -
TBD -
Dangjin Citizen -
TBD -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju -
TBD -
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Seoul Jungnang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Suwon FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
Cheongju Showking 3
Yangcheon TNT 9
TBD -
Pyeongchang United -
Gangwon -
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Changwon -
TBD -
TBD -
Geumsan Insam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimhae -
Seongnam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon Korail -
TBD -
TBD -
Pocheon -
Busan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Incheon Seogot 2
Areum 1
TBD -
Geoje -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paju Frontier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jecheon Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gangneung -
1/64-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
Jincheon 1
Siheung Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 2
Chuncheon 1
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheonan City -
TBD -
Anseong Citizen 2
Mokpo 3
Pohang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 2
Gijang United 1
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen 2
Sejong SA 1
Seosan Pioneer 0
Gyeongju KHNP 3
TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hwaseong -
TBD -
Ulsan FC 1
Yangpyeong 5
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Yeoju Citizen 3
TBD -
Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
TBD -
Haman 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 3
Seoul Jungnang 1
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon FC -
TBD -
Yangcheon TNT 1
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
TBD -
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TBD -
Changwon 3
Geumsan Insam 0
TBD -
Gimhae -
Seongnam -
TBD -
Daejeon Korail 0
Pocheon 2
Busan -
TBD -
Incheon Seogot 0
Geoje 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paju Frontier -
TBD -
Jecheon Citizen 0
Gangneung 2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam 3
Chungnam Asan 4
Daegu 0
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 4
Seoul E-Land 2
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
Cheonan City 2
Mokpo 1
Pohang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 2
Suwon Bluewings 1
Ansan Greeners 0
Jinju Citizen 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Cheongju 4
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
Hwaseong 4
Yangpyeong 3
Yeoju Citizen 1
Gyeongnam 0
Yongin FC 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 1
Gimpo FC 2
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
Suwon FC 3
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Changwon 1
Gimhae 5
Seongnam 2
Pocheon 1
Busan 4
Geoje 0
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
Paju Frontier 3
Gangneung 2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gwangju FC 1
Cheonan City 0
Pohang -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 1
Jinju Citizen 2
Cheongju 1
Anyang 3
Jeju SK 4
Hwaseong 3
Yeoju Citizen 0
Dangjin Citizen 1
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Gimpo FC 1
Incheon 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon FC 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
Gimhae 0
Seongnam 1
Busan 2
Seoul 0
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Paju Frontier 0
1/8-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Daejeon 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
Gwangju FC 1
Pohang 3
Jinju Citizen 1
Anyang 2
Jeju SK 1
Dangjin Citizen 3
Jeonbuk 2
Gimpo FC 2
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Gangwon 1
Seongnam 0
Busan 0
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -