Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Georgia vs Greece

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Tue, Mar 26, 2024
1 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Georgia play Greece in the Euro 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Georgia averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Greece averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Georgia won 1, Greece won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 26, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Georgia and 1.69 for Greece. This points to a Greece double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Georgia
24%
Draws
39%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Georgia picked up more points recently compared to Greece.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Georgia Clean Sheet 13%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Euro
Georgia vs Greece
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 World Championship
Georgia vs Greece
0:2
Mar 31, 2021 World Championship
Greece vs Georgia
1:1
Oct 11, 2011 Euro
Georgia vs Greece
1:2
Sep 3, 2010 Euro
Greece vs Georgia
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia 36 / 100
Greece 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia Greece

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Greece or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Georgia attacking → ← attacking Greece

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Greece let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Georgia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Greece lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

European tournament. Big stakes for both clubs, so expect a tense, high-pressure match.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 49
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63