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Germany U19 vs Italy U19

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Onyeka F.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Stange O.
60' Event
Lontani S.

AI Match Summary

Germany U19 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germany U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Germany U19
15%
Draws
37%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany U19 lately — more wins on the board than Italy U19.
  • Model gives Germany U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Germany U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.37 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Friendly International
Germany U19 vs Italy U19
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Germany U19
2:1
Mar 22, 2023 Euro U19
Germany U19 vs Italy U19
2:3
Mar 23, 2022 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Germany U19
2:2
Jul 11, 2016 Euro U19
Germany U19 vs Italy U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stange O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Husser D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lontani S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U19 41 / 100
Italy U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Germany U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Italy U19 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Germany U19 VS Italy U19
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U19

(Home)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
28 Jun
Germany U19
4 : 3
Denmark U19
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Italy U19

(Away)
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
31 Mar
Ireland U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
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