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Germany W vs Norway W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Muller M.
Assist: Dallmann L.
27' Event
Wamser C.
Assist: Dallmann L.
66'
Sub
Brand J. In: Endemann V.
Out: Brand J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Germany W
15%
Draws
35%
Norway W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Norway W haven't matched Germany W's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Germany W taking it.
  • Germany W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Germany W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Germany W Clean Sheet 68%
Norway W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany W Norway W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.42 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Germany W vs Norway W
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Norway W vs Germany W
0:4
Apr 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Norway W
3:1
Mar 7, 2020 Algarve Cup Women
Germany W vs Norway W
4:0
Nov 29, 2016 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Norway W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany W Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wamser C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Norway W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany W 95 / 100
Norway W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany W Norway W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Germany W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Norway W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Germany W VS Norway W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany W

(Home)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 7

Norway W

(Away)
09 Jun
Norway W
2 : 1
Austria W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Slovenia W
2 : 3
Norway W
14 Apr
Norway W
5 : 0
Slovenia W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)