Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026

Alaves B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gernika Club play Alaves B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gernika Club averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Alaves B averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. In past meetings, Gernika Club won 3, Alaves B won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Gernika Club and 1.63 for Alaves B. This points to a Alaves B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Gernika Club

35%

Draws

36%

Alaves B

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Gernika Club picked up more points recently compared to Alaves B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Gernika Club Clean Sheet 14%

Alaves B Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gernika Club	Alaves B
Matches Played	31	33
Wins	10	17
Draws	10	11
Losses	11	5
Goals Scored	0.9	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.64
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Gernika Club vs Alaves B

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alaves B vs Gernika Club

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alaves B vs Gernika Club

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Gernika Club vs Alaves B

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jan 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alaves B vs Gernika Club

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 29 / 100

Alaves B 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gernika Club Alaves B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alaves B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gernika Club attacking → ← attacking Alaves B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Alaves B let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Gernika Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alaves B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 62

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Union	34	20	9	5	64:35	69
2	Alaves B	34	17	11	6	41:20	62
3	UD Logrones	34	18	7	9	73:33	61
4	Utebo FC	34	17	7	10	56:42	58
5	Tudelano	34	16	9	9	56:40	57
6	Amorebieta	34	13	11	10	38:32	50
7	Sestao	34	12	14	8	40:33	50
8	Ebro	34	11	16	7	42:36	49
9	Eibar B	34	14	7	13	41:42	49
10	Basconia	34	11	14	9	55:43	47
11	Gernika Club	34	12	9	13	34:40	45
12	Naxara	34	11	8	15	39:48	41
13	SD Logrones	34	8	13	13	22:40	37
14	Beasain	34	8	12	14	38:46	36
15	SD Ejea	34	8	11	15	35:55	35
16	Mutilvera	34	8	6	20	31:65	30
17	Zaragoza B	34	7	7	20	32:59	28
18	Alfaro	34	6	7	21	32:60	25