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GFK Yalta vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GFK Yalta host TSK Simferopol in the Premier League (Crimea). This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: GFK Yalta at 2.53 goals for, 1.77 against; TSK Simferopol at 2.52 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, GFK Yalta have won 1 to TSK Simferopol's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.75 - 2.06) back TSK Simferopol to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
GFK Yalta
15%
Draws
42%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GFK Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • GFK Yalta haven't matched TSK Simferopol's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on GFK Yalta taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • History favors TSK Simferopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GFK Yalta TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.53 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta
4:0
May 31, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs TSK Simferopol
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs TSK Simferopol
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GFK Yalta 38 / 100
TSK Simferopol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GFK Yalta TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GFK Yalta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

GFK Yalta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: TSK Simferopol conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: GFK Yalta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GFK Yalta VS TSK Simferopol
4 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

GFK Yalta

(Home)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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