Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Accra Sports Stadium

Niger

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ghana play Niger in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ghana averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Niger averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Ghana won 2, Niger won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 18, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Ghana and 1.31 for Niger. This points to a Ghana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Ghana

29%

Draws

34%

Niger

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Ghana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Ghana picked up more points recently compared to Niger.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Ghana Clean Sheet 18%

Niger Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ghana	Niger
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	8	12
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.33	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Ghana vs Niger

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Sep 9, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Niger vs Ghana

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jan 28, 2023 African Nations Championship

Niger vs Ghana

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Sep 21, 2017 WAFU Cup of Nations

Ghana vs Niger

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jan 28, 2013 Africa Cup of Nations

Niger vs Ghana

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghana Compare

Top Goalscorer Afriyie J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Niger Compare

Top Goalscorer Badamassi O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sako O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghana 37 / 100

Niger 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ghana Niger

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ghana or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ghana attacking → ← attacking Niger

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghana scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Niger let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ghana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Niger lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 36

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4