Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria

Egypt Egypt

Premier League El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Arfaoui R.
31'
Sub
Dunga M. In: Mohamed A.
Out: Dunga M.
32'
Ebuka J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ghazl El Mahallah and Al Ittihad Alexandria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ghazl El Mahallah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ghazl El Mahallah
30%
Draws
34%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghazl El Mahallah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad Alexandria come out ahead of Ghazl El Mahallah on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ghazl El Mahallah's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghazl El Mahallah Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 12
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mahallah
2:0
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mahallah
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Mar 31, 2023 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Top Goalscorer Armoosha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghazl El Mahallah 46 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghazl El Mahallah Al Ittihad Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghazl El Mahallah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ghazl El Mahallah scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Al Ittihad Alexandria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ghazl El Mahallah VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Home)
29 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
4 : 2
Haras El Hodood
23 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
ZED FC
3 : 2
Ghazl El Mahallah
07 May
El Gaish
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Away)
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)