Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Gori L.
9'
9'
Nieri M.
55'
55'
Gaetani D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Ghiviborgo and Sangiovannese finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ghiviborgo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ghiviborgo come out ahead of Sangiovannese on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ghiviborgo's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 15%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ghiviborgo | Sangiovannese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Sangiovannese
4:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Ghiviborgo
5:1
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Ghiviborgo
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Sangiovannese
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Sangiovannese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ghiviborgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gori L.
3 Goals Assists Leader Conti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sangiovannese Compare
Top Goalscorer Nieri M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gaetani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ghiviborgo 35 / 100
Sangiovannese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ghiviborgo Sangiovannese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Ghiviborgo scored in 67% of their last 33 games.
Sangiovannese let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Sangiovannese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ghiviborgo VS Sangiovannese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ghiviborgo
(Home) 20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3 Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0 Ghiviborgo
25 Jul
Livorno
1 : 1 Ghiviborgo
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20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3 Terranuova Traiana
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
02 Apr
Ghiviborgo
0 : 0 Foligno
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Sangiovannese
(Away) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
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27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 1 Sangiovannese
30 Mar
Ghiviborgo
4 : 2 Sangiovannese
09 Mar
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Sangiovannese
23 Feb
Ostiamare
2 : 2 Sangiovannese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
