Sport Picks
Ghiviborgo vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
55'
55'
Mariotti L.
66'
66'
Baldacci D.
90'
90'
Barculli G.
AI Match Summary
Ghiviborgo in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ghiviborgo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghiviborgo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ghiviborgo have won more games recently than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
- Model gives Ghiviborgo a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ghiviborgo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 20%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ghiviborgo | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 14 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Ghiviborgo
1:2
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Ghiviborgo
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
4:2
Feb 7, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ghiviborgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mariotti L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baldacci D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ghiviborgo 36 / 100
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ghiviborgo Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Ghiviborgo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Ghiviborgo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ghiviborgo VS Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ghiviborgo
(Home) 25 Jul
Livorno
1 : 1 Ghiviborgo
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0 Seravezza Pozzi
02 Apr
Ghiviborgo
0 : 0 Foligno
29 Mar
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Prato
25 Mar
Ghiviborgo
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Page 1 of 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
(Away) 03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
29 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
25 Mar
Ghiviborgo
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
22 Feb
Siena
3 : 1 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)