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World Championship 2026 Europa point stadium

Faroe Islands

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Faroe Islands is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Gibraltar, backed by a win probability of 56%. Gibraltar averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. Faroe Islands shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Gibraltar, 3 wins for Faroe Islands, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.09.25 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.44 for Gibraltar and 1.75 for Faroe Islands, suggesting the primary value lies in the Faroe Islands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Gibraltar

17%

Draws

56%

Faroe Islands

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Gibraltar picked up more points recently compared to Faroe Islands.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Gibraltar Clean Sheet 12%

Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gibraltar	Faroe Islands
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	4	9
Draws	5	4
Losses	19	15
Goals Scored	0.61	0.89
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

08.09.25 World Championship

Gibraltar vs Faroe Islands

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

09.06.25 World Championship

Faroe Islands vs Gibraltar

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

26.03.22 Friendly International

Gibraltar vs Faroe Islands

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

01.03.14 Friendly International

Gibraltar vs Faroe Islands

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

1:4

11.03.11 Friendly International

Gibraltar vs Faroe Islands

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Gibraltar

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Faroe Islands

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gibraltar Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnarsson M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 27 / 100

Faroe Islands 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gibraltar Faroe Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Faroe Islands Win (2)

Secondary Pick Faroe Islands & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Faroe Islands will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Gibraltar 30%

Faroe Islands 45%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Gibraltar will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Faroe Islands's early runs.

Gibraltar 26%

Faroe Islands 59%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Faroe Islands to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Gibraltar tries to push forward.

Gibraltar 27%

Faroe Islands 56%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Faroe Islands increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Gibraltar 28%

Faroe Islands 53%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Gibraltar's defense, opening up opportunities for Faroe Islands's forward line.

Gibraltar 24%

Faroe Islands 62%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Faroe Islands to manage the closing stages, while Gibraltar searches for late drama.

Gibraltar 31%

Faroe Islands 64%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gibraltar attacking → ← attacking Faroe Islands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar have found the net in 36% of their last 28 matches.

Faroe Islands have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Gibraltar remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Faroe Islands suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 31

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0