Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town
England
League Two 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
12'
12'
Helm M.
40'
40'
Ogie S.
61'
61'
Palmer-Houlden S.
Assist: Clark M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fleetwood Town lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 13%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham
0:0
Apr 18, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Palmer-Houlden S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Rooney S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 31 / 100
Fleetwood Town 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gillingham found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Fleetwood Town has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Gillingham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Fleetwood Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
18 Apr
Gillingham
1 : 4 Grimsby
06 Apr
Gillingham
2 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Bolton
21 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 Huddersfield
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
14 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Chester
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5 Fleetwood Town
25 Apr
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
11 Apr
Accrington
1 : 2 Fleetwood Town
03 Apr
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
