Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cho Sung-Gwon
Assist: Jeong Jae-Hee
34' Event
Lee G.
42' Event
Hong Yun-Sang
Assist: Park Se-Jin

AI Match Summary

Gimcheon Sangmu in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimcheon Sangmu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gimcheon Sangmu
35%
Draws
42%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Daejeon have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Win probability leans Daejeon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Daejeon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 16 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hong Yun-Sang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cho Sung-Gwon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 26 / 100
Daejeon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Daejeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Daejeon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Gimcheon Sangmu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Daejeon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
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Daejeon

(Away)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Daejeon
3 : 2
Anyang
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 29 10 12 7 36:28 42
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
9 Incheon 29 10 8 11 36:33 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)