Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cho Sung-Gwon
Assist: Jeong Jae-Hee
34' Event
Lee G.
42' Event
Hong Yun-Sang
Assist: Park Se-Jin

AI Match Summary

Gimcheon Sangmu in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimcheon Sangmu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gimcheon Sangmu
20%
Draws
38%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Daejeon have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Win probability leans Gimcheon Sangmu's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 20%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Daejeon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hong Yun-Sang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cho Sung-Gwon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 42 / 100
Daejeon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Daejeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Daejeon has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Gimcheon Sangmu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Daejeon
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
25 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
3 : 2
Daejeon
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
11 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
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Daejeon

(Away)
25 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
3 : 2
Daejeon
21 Jul
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Daejeon
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
04 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Bucheon FC 1995
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul21134435:1743
2Ulsan Hyundai21104733:3034
3Jeonbuk2197527:1634
4Gangwon2188525:1732
5Anyang2179529:2630
6Incheon2185828:2429
7Jeju SK2177722:2328
8Pohang2184920:2228
9Daejeon2158825:2323
10Gimcheon Sangmu21411622:2823
11Bucheon FC 19952158821:2523
12Gwangju FC21171311:4710
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)