Sport Picks
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy 
Match Events
13'
13'
Ibanez M.
15'
15'
Macies T.
26'
26'
Salvaggio M.
AI Match Summary
9 de Julio Rafaela in this Torneo Federal 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: 9 de Julio Rafaela at 1.38 per game, Gimnasia Chivilcoy at 1.13.
- Win probability leans Gimnasia Chivilcoy's way, sitting at 80%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor 9 de Julio Rafaela, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare
Top Goalscorer Salvaggio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibanez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abondetto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 86 / 100
9 de Julio Rafaela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 9 de Julio Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gimnasia Chivilcoy scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.
9 de Julio Rafaela has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS 9 de Julio Rafaela
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
(Home) 25 Jul
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
12 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
05 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Jun
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Atletico Escobar
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
05 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
20 Jun
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Atletico Escobar
07 Jun
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 May
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Away) 13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
31 May
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 2 9 de Julio Rafaela
10 May
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
26 Apr
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0