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Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gutierrez M.
16'
Luna E.
25'
Vizgarra K.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Gimnasia Chivilcoy and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia Chivilcoy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30%
Draws
34%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia Chivilcoy's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 46 / 100
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Chivilcoy found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512