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Gimnasia L.P. W vs San Lorenzo W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gaetan F.
27' Event
Pafundi D.
63' Event
Arias E.

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo W in this Primera A Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Lorenzo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gimnasia L.P. W
44%
Draws
20%
San Lorenzo W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Lorenzo W lately — more wins on the board than Gimnasia L.P. W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gimnasia L.P. W Clean Sheet 10%
San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. W San Lorenzo W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs San Lorenzo W
1:4
Sep 5, 2025 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs San Lorenzo W
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs San Lorenzo W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaetan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Lorenzo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pafundi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arias E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. W 34 / 100
San Lorenzo W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. W San Lorenzo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia L.P. W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gimnasia L.P. W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Lorenzo W let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. W VS San Lorenzo W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia L.P. W

(Home)
27 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
2 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. W
17 Jul
CA Independiente W
0 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
13 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
2 : 1
Huracan W
08 Jul
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P. W
04 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
4 : 2
River Plate W
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San Lorenzo W

(Away)
27 Jul
Boca Juniors W
1 : 2
San Lorenzo W
22 Jul
Lanus W
1 : 0
San Lorenzo W
13 Jul
San Lorenzo W
1 : 0
San Luis W
08 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
1 : 2
San Lorenzo W
04 Jul
San Lorenzo W
2 : 0
CA Independiente W
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