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Gimnasia L.P. W vs Union de Santa Fe W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women Estancia Chica GELP, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Coronel M.
36' Event
Albornos E.
43' Event
Adorno M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia L.P. W in this Primera A Women matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia L.P. W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gimnasia L.P. W
6%
Draws
4%
Union de Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gimnasia L.P. W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. W have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe W.
  • Model gives Gimnasia L.P. W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gimnasia L.P. W Clean Sheet 68%
Union de Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. W Union de Santa Fe W
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 12 0
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Union de Santa Fe W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. W Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaetan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union de Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Albornos E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coronel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. W 95 / 100
Union de Santa Fe W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. W Union de Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe W let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Gimnasia L.P. W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Gimnasia L.P. W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. W VS Union de Santa Fe W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia L.P. W

(Home)
17 Jul
CA Independiente W
0 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
13 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
2 : 1
Huracan W
08 Jul
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P. W
04 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
4 : 2
River Plate W
27 Jun
CA Banfield W
2 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
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Union de Santa Fe W

(Away)
22 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
0 : 2
Newells Old Boys W
13 Jul
Racing Club W
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe W
08 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
1 : 2
San Lorenzo W
04 Jul
Talleres Cordoba W
0 : 0
Union de Santa Fe W
28 Jun
Union de Santa Fe W
1 : 2
Ferro W
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