Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Agropecuario

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Ramos M. In: Cabello J.
Out: Ramos M.
32' Event
Birge M.
Assist: Rinaldi N.
38' Event
Guanini M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia y Tiro and Agropecuario finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agropecuario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gimnasia y Tiro
17%
Draws
13%
Agropecuario
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia y Tiro come out ahead of Agropecuario on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia y Tiro taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Agropecuario
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Agropecuario
2:3
May 22, 2017 Torneo Federal
Agropecuario vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Birge M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guanini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Agropecuario Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosqueira R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 77 / 100
Agropecuario 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Agropecuario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gimnasia y Tiro's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Agropecuario has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Gimnasia y Tiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Agropecuario
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
26 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1
Patronato
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Agropecuario

(Away)
26 Jul
Agropecuario
2 : 1
San Martin S.J.
17 Jul
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Agropecuario
12 Jul
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Temperley
05 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
2 : 0
Agropecuario
20 Jun
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Agropecuario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta21113726:1836
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10Almagro2184919:2328
11San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
12Colegiales2175919:2026
13Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)