Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Papaleo J. In: Cosentino F.
Out: Papaleo J.
45' Event
Gordillo L.
Assist: Aguirre J.
46'
Sub
Palacio P. In: Macies T.
Out: Palacio P.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia y Tiro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gimnasia y Tiro
30%
Draws
34%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia y Tiro lately — more wins on the board than Almagro.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia y Tiro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gimnasia y Tiro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Almagro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almagro
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordillo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Almagro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 46 / 100
Almagro 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Almagro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Gimnasia y Tiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Almagro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419