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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Cayon CD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Primo
74' Event
Salas D.

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20%
Draws
57%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won more games recently than Cayon CD.
  • Model gives Cayon CD a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnastic de Torrelavega have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 14%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega Cayon CD
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Cayon CD
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:2
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cayon CD vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Cayon CD
2:2
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Cayon CD
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Primo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cayon CD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 10 / 100
Cayon CD 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cayon CD let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Gimnastic de Torrelavega has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS Cayon CD
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)