Sport Picks
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Primo
15'
15'
Goni M.
26'
26'
Garcia Hernandez H.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Gimnastic de Torrelavega and SD Noja finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnastic de Torrelavega.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- SD Noja haven't matched Gimnastic de Torrelavega's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Gimnastic de Torrelavega's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnastic de Torrelavega have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 20%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | SD Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
6:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
5:1
May 5, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs SD Noja
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare
Top Goalscorer Primo
1 Goals Assists Leader Goni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
SD Noja Compare
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 67 / 100
SD Noja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnastic de Torrelavega SD Noja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SD Noja conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Gimnastic de Torrelavega scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: SD Noja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS SD Noja
2.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
(Home) 20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3 Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1 Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1 Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2 Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3 Bergantinos
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1 Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1 Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2 Rayo Cantabria
11 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 4
SD Noja
(Away) 09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0 SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0 SD Noja
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
03 Apr
Selaya
3 : 0 SD Noja
21 Mar
Bezana
4 : 0 SD Noja
08 Mar
CD Barquereno
2 : 0 SD Noja
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
