Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 Cotanak Stadyumu

Duzcespor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Giresunspor play Duzcespor in the 3. Lig Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Giresunspor averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Duzcespor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Giresunspor won 2, Duzcespor won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Giresunspor and 0.88 for Duzcespor. This points to a Duzcespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Giresunspor

19%

Draws

55%

Duzcespor

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Duzcespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Giresunspor picked up more points recently compared to Duzcespor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Giresunspor Clean Sheet 25%

Duzcespor Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Giresunspor	Duzcespor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	10
Draws	9	7
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	0.6	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Giresunspor vs Duzcespor

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Dec 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Duzcespor vs Giresunspor

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Apr 16, 1995 1. Lig

Giresunspor vs Duzcespor

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Feb 5, 1995 1. Lig

Duzcespor vs Giresunspor

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Nov 27, 1994 1. Lig

Giresunspor vs Duzcespor

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giresunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dik S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bicer O. K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Duzcespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giresunspor 28 / 100

Duzcespor 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Giresunspor Duzcespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duzcespor Win (2)

Secondary Pick Duzcespor & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Giresunspor attacking → ← attacking Duzcespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giresunspor scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Duzcespor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Giresunspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Duzcespor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 37

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21