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Giulianova vs Atletico Ascoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Guerriero A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Giulianova and Atletico Ascoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giulianova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Giulianova
20%
Draws
51%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ascoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Giulianova taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Giulianova have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giulianova Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 12
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Atletico Ascoli
4:2
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Atletico Ascoli
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Giulianova
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giulianova Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerriero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giulianova 42 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giulianova Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Giulianova scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Ascoli has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Giulianova has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giulianova VS Atletico Ascoli
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Giulianova

(Home)
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2
Fossombrone
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Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)