Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GKS Belchatow vs Znicz Biala Piska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Poplawski K.
11' Event
Wronski L.
51' Event
Poplawski K.

AI Match Summary

GKS Belchatow in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GKS Belchatow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
GKS Belchatow
6%
Draws
4%
Znicz Biala Piska
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: GKS Belchatow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Znicz Biala Piska haven't matched GKS Belchatow's recent run of results.
  • GKS Belchatow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 12%
Znicz Biala Piska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Belchatow Znicz Biala Piska
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Znicz Biala Piska
5:0
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs GKS Belchatow
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Poplawski K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wronski L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Znicz Biala Piska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Belchatow 83 / 100
Znicz Biala Piska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Belchatow Znicz Biala Piska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Znicz Biala Piska conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

GKS Belchatow found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Znicz Biala Piska lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GKS Belchatow VS Znicz Biala Piska
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

GKS Belchatow

(Home)
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
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Znicz Biala Piska

(Away)
30 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 3
Legia II
23 May
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6
Zabkovia Zabki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)