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Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania KGV Park
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Match Events

8' Event
Mamic A.
18' Event
Morton N.
79' Event
Morton N.

AI Match Summary

South Hobart in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Glenorchy Knights
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Glenorchy Knights haven't matched South Hobart's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Hobart taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • South Hobart have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenorchy Knights South Hobart
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.5 4
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights
6:1
Mar 27, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
1:2
Aug 1, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights
3:0
Mar 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Morton N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
South Hobart 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenorchy Knights South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Glenorchy Knights scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

South Hobart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Glenorchy Knights stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glenorchy Knights VS South Hobart
1.5 Goals Scored 4
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%