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Stadium Background

Glentoran vs Linfield

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup Windsor Park, Belfast
Sun, Mar 15, 2026
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
McClean K.
34'
Amos D.
64'
Sub
Baird I. In: Frizzell A.
Out: Baird I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Linfield advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Glentoran
40%
Draws
29%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glentoran come out ahead of Linfield on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Glentoran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 15%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Linfield
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Linfield
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Linfield
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glentoran
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glentoran
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Linfield
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 31 / 100
Linfield 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Linfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Glentoran remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Linfield
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4
Kilmarnock
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

Linfield

(Away)
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Crusaders-
TBD-
Oxford Sunnyside1
Ballymacash5
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Ballyclare1
Coagh Utd2
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Strabane Athletic-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Moyola5
Portstewart3
TBD-
Annagh-
Dollingstown-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Newry City3
Knockbreda0
TBD-
Portadown-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
Dergview3
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Larne-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery3
Banbridge2
1/16-finals
Institute0
Glentoran1
Crusaders3
Ballymacash1
Cliftonville4
Coagh Utd1
Loughgall2
Strabane Athletic3
Ards1
Dungannon2
Moyola3
Annagh0
Dollingstown0
Coleraine8
Armagh3
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City1
Portadown0
Warrenpoint0
Glenavon2
Harland & Wolff6
Dundela0
Linfield2
Queens University0
Ballymena1
Ballinamallard0
Newington FC3
Limavady1
Dergview3
Larne7
Bangor FC4
Lisburn Distillery1
1/8-finals
Glentoran2
Crusaders1
Cliftonville5
Strabane Athletic2
Dungannon0
Moyola1
Coleraine7
Armagh1
Newry City1
Glenavon0
Harland & Wolff3
Linfield6
Ballymena3
Newington FC0
Larne2
Bangor FC1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran2
Cliftonville1
Moyola0
Coleraine2
Newry City2
Linfield3
Ballymena2
Larne0
Semi-finals
Glentoran2
Coleraine1
Linfield1
Ballymena0
Final
Glentoran0
Linfield1