Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2024/2025

ACS Targu Mures 1898

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gloria Bistrita play ACS Targu Mures 1898 in the Liga 3 - Seria 7 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gloria Bistrita averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. ACS Targu Mures 1898 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Gloria Bistrita won 5, ACS Targu Mures 1898 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 23, 2024 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Gloria Bistrita and 1.00 for ACS Targu Mures 1898. This points to a Gloria Bistrita double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Gloria Bistrita

15%

Draws

38%

ACS Targu Mures 1898

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloria Bistrita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Gloria Bistrita picked up more points recently compared to ACS Targu Mures 1898.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Gloria Bistrita Clean Sheet 23%

ACS Targu Mures 1898 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gloria Bistrita	ACS Targu Mures 1898
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	16	13
Draws	4	6
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.82	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 7

Gloria Bistrita vs ACS Targu Mures 1898

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

5:0

Sep 21, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 7

ACS Targu Mures 1898 vs Gloria Bistrita

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Mar 15, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 9

Gloria Bistrita vs ACS Targu Mures 1898

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 13, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 9

ACS Targu Mures 1898 vs Gloria Bistrita

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 4 - 0

2:3

Apr 26, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Gloria Bistrita vs ACS Targu Mures 1898

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Bistrita 47 / 100

ACS Targu Mures 1898 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gloria Bistrita ACS Targu Mures 1898

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gloria Bistrita or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gloria Bistrita attacking → ← attacking ACS Targu Mures 1898

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloria Bistrita scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

ACS Targu Mures 1898 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Gloria Bistrita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ACS Targu Mures 1898 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 45

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gloria Bistrita	18	13	4	1	48:13	43
2	Unirea Alba-Iulia	18	12	5	1	41:9	41
3	Univ. Alba Iulia	18	11	6	1	36:16	39
4	ACS Medias	18	7	7	4	29:16	28
5	ACS Targu Mures 1898	18	7	2	9	22:28	23
6	Blaj	18	6	3	9	15:28	21
7	Unirea Dej	18	5	4	9	27:30	19
8	Metalurgistul Cugir	18	4	5	9	20:35	17
9	Avantul Reghin	18	4	3	11	15:38	15
10	Codlea	18	1	1	16	5:45	4