Sport Picks
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
35'
35'
Hemmings A.
56'
56'
Obodo M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gloucester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Gloucester City haven't matched Basingstoke's recent run of results.
- Model gives Gloucester City a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 19%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gloucester City | Basingstoke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gloucester City
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gloucester City
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gloucester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hemmings A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Obodo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gloucester City 67 / 100
Basingstoke 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gloucester City Basingstoke
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gloucester City found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).
Basingstoke has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Gloucester City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gloucester City VS Basingstoke
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gloucester City
(Home) 10 Nov
Gloucester City
3 : 2 Malvern Town
07 Nov
Yate
1 : 1 Gloucester City
31 Oct
Gloucester City
2 : 2 Berkhamsted Town
27 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0 Gloucester City
24 Oct
Redditch
3 : 2 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 5
10 Nov
Gloucester City
3 : 2 Malvern Town
31 Oct
Gloucester City
2 : 2 Berkhamsted Town
20 Oct
Gloucester City
0 : 2 Barrow
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
Page 1 of 3
Basingstoke
(Away) 07 Nov
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Hanworth Villa
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
27 Oct
Basingstoke
0 : 2 Uxbridge
24 Oct
Basingstoke
2 : 0 Plymouth Parkway
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 7
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1 Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28:17 | 32 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Chertsey Town | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35:25 | 29 |
| 6 | Bath City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21:15 | 29 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 30:28 | 28 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 22 |
| 10 | Taunton Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 35:26 | 22 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Yate | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:28 | 18 |
| 14 | Sholing | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Hanwell Town | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:26 | 17 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | 16 |
| 17 | Chippenham Town | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:30 | 16 |
| 18 | Evesham | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21:37 | 16 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Bracknell Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19:37 | 15 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24:41 | 14 |
| 22 | Havant & Waterlooville | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20:33 | 12 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
