Sport Picks

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Gloucester City vs Basingstoke

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Hemmings A.
56' Event
Obodo M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gloucester City
35%
Draws
28%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Basingstoke haven't matched Gloucester City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gloucester City a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 19%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Basingstoke
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gloucester City
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gloucester City
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hemmings A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Basingstoke Compare

Top Goalscorer Obodo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 58 / 100
Basingstoke 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Basingstoke has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gloucester City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS Basingstoke
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4
Gloucester City
05 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Mangotsfield
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0
AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1
Bracknell Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)