Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gloucester City vs Weymouth

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Gloucester City Logo

Gloucester City

3 - 1
FT
Weymouth Logo

Weymouth

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Pinchard H.
56' Event
Goodship B.
88' Event
Watts E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gloucester City in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gloucester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gloucester City
30%
Draws
43%
Weymouth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Weymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Weymouth haven't matched Gloucester City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Weymouth a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 11%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Weymouth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Weymouth
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Gloucester City
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinchard H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Watts E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Weymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodship B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 22 / 100
Weymouth 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Weymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gloucester City scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Weymouth conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gloucester City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS Weymouth
1.25 Goals Scored 2.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4
Gloucester City
05 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Mangotsfield
Page 1 of 6

Weymouth

(Away)
19 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 3
Weymouth
12 Sept
Hartpury University
2 : 3
Weymouth
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1
Melksham
01 Aug
Frome Town
0 : 0
Weymouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)