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Gnistan W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

2 - 3
FT
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kraemer A.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Rasinen A.
40' Event
Kraemer A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Gnistan W and Ilves W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
0%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gnistan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ilves W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 16%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W Ilves W
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Gnistan W
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Gnistan W
2:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Ilves W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraemer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasinen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olmala A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 31 / 100
Ilves W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ilves W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gnistan W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS Ilves W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

Ilves W

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)