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Golden Lion vs Franciscain Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 Stade Henri-Murano, Saint-Joseph
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AI Match Summary

Franciscain in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Golden Lion
15%
Draws
54%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Franciscain have won more games recently than Golden Lion.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Franciscain taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Franciscain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 17%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Lion Franciscain
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 19 26
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.16 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Franciscain
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Golden Lion
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Golden Lion
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Franciscain
1:2
May 4, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Franciscain
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Lion 20 / 100
Franciscain 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Lion Franciscain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Golden Lion scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Golden Lion has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Franciscain let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Golden Lion VS Franciscain
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Lion

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
Club Peleen
1 : 2
Golden Lion
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
Page 1 of 7

Franciscain

(Away)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
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